Today’s free picks, that’s right PICKS come to you from tonights UFC 101. We were 2-0 on our UFC 100 picks with Brock Lesnar and George St Pierre coming out victorious in fairly easy wins. Now those picks were pretty heavy favorites. Tonight we have a couple of upsets brewing and we’re going to give you 2 picks for FREE. All lines are from Bodog.
Today’s Free UFC Picks are:
Fighter Line Opponent
Florian +220 Penn
Griffin +260 Silva
Let’s start with Florian vs Penn. BJ Penn is tough, but he loses in most fights where he fights an elite fighter. He’s lost to St Pierre twice, Matt Hughes 1 out of 2 and Jens Pulver 1 out of 2. So he’s 2-4 against the elite of the division. Now the $220 question is… is Florian an elite fighter? With his incredible ground game and his ability to do something that is very rare in MMA, cause damage from the guard, I think he is. Look for Florian to take this match to the ground as early and often as possible. Make no mistake about it, Riggs wants to stand and trade. I just don’t think he’s going to get that many chances to do it. Take Florian in the upset at +220
Now to Griffin vs Silva. Let me start by saying Silva is a monster. A flat out fighting machine. Take this action if you are took Florian and won or if you are up from other bets and have a little bit of money to take a shot with. At this point I would call Silva ALMOST un-beatable. It is going to take an amazing effort and a specific strategy to beat him. There are not many fighters in the world that have the brains, will and/or skills to pull of a win against Silva. Unfortunately for Silva, I think the one opponent that can do everything it takes to beat him is facing him tonight. Forrest Griffin does not have the same skill level as Silva. He never has and he never will. What Forrest has is a will to win and enough talent to make it happen. When he chooses to train for a specific game plan and strategy and chooses to stick to it, he is tough to beat. When he goes back to what is natural to him, brawling, he doesn’t fair as well. Obviously at +260 he shouldn’t win this fight. But with what I see as a real good chance to win big on the Florian fight, I’d take some of that winnings and place it on Griffin. I see Griffin immediately trying to take Silva down. At that point it’s all going to be about the ground and pound. Griffin will try and emulate exactly what Lesnar did. More like a smother and pound. He will attempt to wear Silva out and cause damage little by little while laying on top of him from guard and side control. Of course he’ll have to be very careful of submissions, but if he can indeed get Silva down to the ground once per round, I see this going to Griffin in a HUGE upset. Take Griffin +260 in you took Florian and got the win.
